Methodology

Our approach combines quantitative data analysis with qualitative cultural expertise. We believe that understanding what's truly "in" requires both rigorous measurement and intuitive cultural intelligence.

4 Data SourcesTransparent ProcessPublic Rubric

How We Determine Acceptance

Every trend evaluation follows a structured process that weighs quantitative signals against qualitative cultural analysis. Our Council members use a standardized rubric while maintaining space for nuanced judgment and dissenting opinions.

ACCEPTED
Mainstream adoption confirmed
EARLY
Emerging with strong signals
NOT YET
Insufficient momentum
REVOKED
Declining or rejected

Data Sources & Weighting

25%

Google Trends

Search Data

Global search volume and interest over time

30%

Social Platforms

Social Signals

Hashtag velocity, engagement rates, creator adoption

20%

Market Proxies

Commercial Data

E-commerce trends, Pinterest saves, Lyst searches

25%

Council Expertise

Editorial Judgment

Cultural context, authenticity assessment, longevity prediction

Evaluation Criteria

1

Cultural Impact

How significantly does this trend influence behavior, aesthetics, or social norms?

Key Indicators:
  • Shifts in consumer behavior
  • New aesthetic standards
  • Changed social interactions
2

Data Signals

What quantitative evidence supports the trend's momentum and adoption?

Key Indicators:
  • Search volume growth
  • Social media velocity
  • Commercial adoption rates
3

Longevity Potential

Is this a fleeting moment or a lasting cultural shift?

Key Indicators:
  • Historical precedents
  • Infrastructure requirements
  • Generational adoption patterns
4

Authenticity Markers

Does this represent genuine cultural evolution or manufactured hype?

Key Indicators:
  • Organic vs. astroturfed growth
  • Creator vs. brand-driven
  • Community engagement depth

Transparency & Integrity

What We Publish

  • Complete voting records
  • Data sources and methodology
  • Dissenting opinions
  • Council member accuracy rates

Conflict Prevention

  • Anonymous Council identities
  • Financial interest screening
  • Recusal protocols
  • Regular rotation of members

Limitations & Biases

We acknowledge that no methodology is perfect. Our approach has inherent limitations that we work to understand and mitigate:

  • Geographic bias: Our data sources skew toward English-speaking, Western markets
  • Platform dependency: Social signals rely on major platforms that may not capture all cultural activity
  • Temporal lag: Some cultural shifts may be evident before appearing in our data sources
  • Council composition: Despite diversity efforts, our panel represents specific perspectives and expertise areas